Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.001570 0.001667 0.001767 0.001877 0.001997 0.002122 0.002264
2025-03-09 0.001407 0.001540 0.001683 0.001847 0.002032 0.002235 0.002475
2025-03-16 0.001307 0.001465 0.001638 0.001845 0.002085 0.002358 0.002692
2025-03-23 0.001220 0.001392 0.001587 0.001825 0.002109 0.002441 0.002860
2025-03-30 0.001154 0.001338 0.001551 0.001816 0.002140 0.002528 0.003033
2025-04-06 0.001090 0.001281 0.001505 0.001790 0.002147 0.002583 0.003164
2025-04-13 0.001031 0.001227 0.001459 0.001760 0.002143 0.002621 0.003273
2025-04-20 0.000964 0.001157 0.001391 0.001698 0.002095 0.002598 0.003298
2025-04-27 0.000940 0.001141 0.001387 0.001715 0.002147 0.002706 0.003499
2025-05-04 0.000927 0.001137 0.001399 0.001752 0.002226 0.002850 0.003757
2025-05-11 0.000921 0.001142 0.001420 0.001802 0.002323 0.003024 0.004064
2025-05-18 0.000899 0.001125 0.001412 0.001812 0.002365 0.003121 0.004267
2025-05-25 0.000851 0.001074 0.001362 0.001766 0.002335 0.003125 0.004347
2025-06-01 0.000812 0.001034 0.001323 0.001735 0.002323 0.003155 0.004467
2025-06-08 0.000786 0.001010 0.001305 0.001732 0.002351 0.003242 0.004679
2025-06-15 0.000757 0.000980 0.001277 0.001713 0.002354 0.003292 0.004836
2025-06-22 0.000733 0.000957 0.001258 0.001705 0.002371 0.003364 0.005031
2025-06-29 0.000705 0.000927 0.001229 0.001681 0.002365 0.003398 0.005165
2025-07-06 0.000678 0.000898 0.001198 0.001653 0.002349 0.003417 0.005274
2025-07-13 0.000644 0.000856 0.001149 0.001596 0.002286 0.003356 0.005243
2025-07-20 0.000633 0.000849 0.001149 0.001612 0.002336 0.003479 0.005538
2025-07-27 0.000629 0.000850 0.001160 0.001646 0.002417 0.003656 0.005938
2025-08-03 0.000629 0.000856 0.001180 0.001692 0.002520 0.003874 0.006429